The United States joining the war ggainst Iran will not bring victory to Israel. Armen Ayvazyan

Doctor of Political Sciences, Historian Armen Ayvazyan's post on Facebook.

«THE UNITED STATES JOINING THE WAR AGAINST IRAN WILL NOT BRING VICTORY TO ISRAEL.

No matter how much some still admire the “achievements” of the Israeli Air Force and intelligence services, that state has, in fact, already been defeated. Today’s U.S. strike has merely given Iran a pretext to deliver what is likely the most powerful blow against Israel since the start of the war. With just 25–30 missiles, a number of key targets have been hit. Significant destruction has been reported in Tel Aviv and Haifa: each missile effectively wiped out an entire neighborhood. If Iran’s missile strikes continue for even another 7–8 days, Tel Aviv and Haifa will turn into piles of rubble. So what kind of “victory” can we even talk about in that case? With its latest strike, the United States is, in effect, unintentionally contributing not to Israel’s victory, but to its accelerated collapse.

AND WHAT ABOUT IRAN? Whatever happens to Iran, it will be able to endure—albeit at the cost of very heavy losses—thanks to its vast territory, 90 million population, powerful army, and millennia-long state tradition. Unlike Israel, Iran remains relatively invulnerable due to its strategic depth, mobilization potential, and geopolitical positioning.

As a result, a paradoxical situation emerges: the more actively the U.S. supports Israel, the faster Israel’s military and psychological collapse approaches.

The United States—its forces and its interests in the region—will also suffer serious losses; Iran’s response will, in all likelihood, not be long in coming. The war is rapidly expanding, while the international political system is moving further and further away from the logic of law, giving way instead to the logic of brute force. The consequences of this shift are still difficult to predict in many respects, but one thing is already clear: in relations between states, it is no longer law or diplomacy that dominates, but sheer military power.

This process represents not only a moral, but also a civilizational regression—one that threatens the very foundations of international stability. It signals that the world is entering a perilous new phase, where traditional alliances and international agreements can be easily disregarded, while the likelihood of regional wars increases—potentially leading, in the end, to a global confrontation.

And as I have said many times before — all this began with Armenia, and it will end with Armenia. Because Armenia is the last outpost on the frontier of civilizations.»