Political scientist Suren Surenyants Facebook post.
On the occasion of Overchuk's statement
Deputy Prime Minister Overchuk's statement surprised many. They were waiting for a sharp rejection, but this wording was heard. "If Armenia is good, we support."
What does this mean? Possible reasons are several.
In the conditions of the Ukrainian war, Moscow avoids opening a new front with the United States.
The Kremlin does not believe in the real prospect of the Trump route and considers the hard response pointless.
It is not ruled out that there are certain agreements with Washington in this matter.
At the same time, the risks are also obvious. Increasing the influence of the West in the Caucasus, the gradual removal of Armenia from the Russian orbit, as well as strengthening the positions of Turkey and Azerbaijan.
But there are also opportunities. Moscow can be involved in economic components, keep a negotiation card and present it as a peacemaker.
As a result, Moscow is not a significant loss at the moment. If the project is failed, nothing will lose, and if it is done, it will have the opportunity to engage or at least use it for its interests.
