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Trump can delay the negotiations and the contract signing process. internationalist


What will Trump do with the package of Armenian-Azerbaijani negotiations? Internationalist Suren Sargsyan wrote about this on his page.

"As is known, the Biden administration was an active mediator in the process of Armenian-Azerbaijani (as well as Armenian-Turkish) relations. It was for this reason that the outgoing President Biden called on Aliyev and Pashinyan to sign the peace agreement before the end of the year.
He objectively wanted to get his laurels as a mediator of this initiative. If the continuation of the political course of the Democrats would be ensured, in the case of Trump, if we look at things realistically, the following scenarios are outlined here:

On the one hand, the Trump administration will not want a quick signing scenario, because in such a case it will have to accept that the laurels belong to the Biden administration, or at least share them with the Democrats especially considering that Trump needs success stories of peacemaking.

The scenario of time delay is of course also in the interests of Baku, because Azerbaijan will demand more from Armenia and will be subjected to less pressure. :

This is also in the interests of Baku, because there will be no pressure on Azerbaijan, and Azerbaijan, unlike Armenia, is able to agree with Tehran, Ankara and Moscow like any breakdown of equilibrium, leads to an increase in the influence of the winning pole.

The third scenario is the increase of escalation around Iran, which can make the region a "prokhodnoy dvor" with all the negative consequences.

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