"Baku will use the lawsuits and new demands to create chaos in Armenia. The list of Aliyev's latest demands is a program package for the liquidation of Armenia. Armenia has no idea how to counter it. But in order to correctly understand the possible course of 2025, it is necessary to look at the process as a whole.
Before that, Baku announced that the cases of the military-political leadership of Artsakh were sent for judicial investigation, accusing them of war and economic crimes, etc. This was followed by the appeal of the Prosecutor's Office of Azerbaijan to the RA law enforcement agencies to cooperate in identifying the persons and witnesses who committed crimes against Azerbaijan, who are in in the territory of Armenia.
Aliyev is preparing huge pressures on Armenia through his political demands and "legal-procedural" processes. They will be well packaged and as understandable as possible for the outside world. And the Baku lawsuits have a huge potential to influence the environment and sentiments of Armenia. We are not ready for this.
Armenia's political and state mind does not show any signs of opposing such developments. In 2025, we will counter Azerbaijan's enormous pressures with our elite primitivism, our well-known ability to misperceive developments, and our strategic thinking deficit.
And time goes on.
I don't want to condense the colors, but Aliyev has most likely set himself the problem of causing chaos in Armenia. Serious preparatory work has already been done in that direction. They do not do anything by chance, up to the point of broadcasting the list of new demands through the Russian mass media.
The domestic chaos, the chaotic public sentiments will simply open the doors of our country to the enemy's unbelievable scenarios. Remember that Aleppo and Damascus were outwardly peaceful cities full of restaurants a few days before the fall. Aliyev already knows very well that the Armenian society can be sent edited footage of "tushonkas" and driven to mass madness.
It will do the same on a larger scale through these lawsuits. With the lawsuits starting in Baku, he will try to create moods of demoralization and mass psychosis in Armenia.
And we do not have any developed strategy on how we will respond to that trial, how we will prepare our society for it. Do we understand what a shock our already broken society will experience? We are wondering in the cabinets what they can give us to demoralize our already defeated and destroyed public system. You need the right tactics and mechanisms to work for a long time.
Cold decisions must be made. Azerbaijan will combine all this with the demand to hand over the "accomplices" in the territory of Armenia. List the list or will you understand? And we know what reaction the Armenian society and the government can give. Imagine the performance of Manveli Grigoryan's tushonka with ten times more emotional background.
And at the end, Aliyev will make clear state demands and threats. How will we resist? with interviews, NA question and answer, Facebook posts?
Aliyev is following the path of total pressure on Armenia. 2025 will demand significant changes in public life, with new things to say.
The situation will lead to it.
We should talk about all this very seriously, outside the meetings, in closed environments, discussing all the steps."
Vahe Hovhannisyan
Alternative projects group
