Doctor of political sciences, professor, energy security expert Vahe Davtyan writes: "It is not necessary to exclude the internal factor in the Iranian tragedy.
Power in Iran belongs to the spiritual leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. It is noteworthy that Raisi himself was considered a possible successor of the latter. The death of the president increases the chances of Ali Khamenei's son Mojtaba to take his father's place in the future. Moreover, Khamenei himself wanted to see Raisi at the helm of the state, and his death significantly reduces the number of contenders. The probability of a change of power according to the Western model is very low or almost non-existent. The Iranian political system is strong and durable, built on conservative and theocratic foundations. At the same time, we do not throw aside the geopolitical factor. Moreover, in wars between special services, as a rule, internal and external factors are combined."
