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Madrid

Who is the leader? Data from the latest US presidential election polls

The data of the latest polls of the US presidential elections, as of 9:10 on November 1, are as follows:

FiveThirtyEight. Trump currently has an 8.1% lead in Ohio. Trump 51.8%, Harris 43.7%.

Polymarket. Trump's chances of winning are estimated at 94%.This is a leading platform for predicting important world events. Trump is also in the lead in the other two British betting and forecasting platforms Sporting Index and Betfair Exchange.

ABC News Project 538: Harris is ahead with 48%, Trump has 46.8%. A few days ago, Harris was 4% ahead of Trump in these same polls.

270towin: Harris is 1.2% ahead of Trump.

RealClearPolling: Trump was ahead of Harris by 0.3%.

Kalshi: is considered to be one of the largest American prediction platforms, where Trump's chances have decreased from 64% to 55% today. The numbers are changing hour by hour, not in Trump's favor.

Alan Lichtman: This 77-year-old professor of history, who is called the professor of predictions, has correctly predicted the outcome of the American elections for about 40 years. His predictions have come true in 9 out of the last 10 US elections.

The only exception was the year 2000, when Bush defeated the Democrat Gore. He claims that the victory is Harris's. By the way, this man is neither an esotericist, nor an astrologer, nor a fortune teller, he just thought of a model consisting of 13 factors, which helps him predict the outcome of the election.

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