"Why are the movements not successful (so far)? We are not doing something important. we do not try to understand the reasons for the failure of the movements after the defeat. Do we not have the prudence, perhaps the courage? It is noteworthy that the government and the audience mention a thousand and one invented reasons, but we, the participants, are inexplicably silent. There are deep reasons, which, when combined into a whole, become a serious, so far insurmountable obstacle to get out of this nightmare.
1. The platforms are not based on the reality that we are dealing with a society of defeat. It is a completely different state of mind, a different sociology, which requires a different content and a different rhetoric. Usually, the speech from the platforms is in direct opposite logic. it does not speak to the hearts of the masses, does not reflect their real fears and moods.
2. The necessary resources for the fight have not been put in place. A large material and technical resource is needed to carry out extensive organizational work, build a fighting machine, change public moods and use them to change the government. Most of those who own that resource have not done so. They can already be sure that further hesitation will bring more serious consequences, including for them personally.
3. The large number of collaborationists. this is a fact. Some of them even blame us for half the day, why can't you get rid of them? How can we when you play four games? But we also failed to create such an atmosphere that collaborationism would be a subject of heavy public criticism.
4. The stark disparity between members of the movement. One has the problem of maintaining a house during the struggle, the other continues to earn millions during this government or even after, one ends up in prison without a lawyer or basic means to support a family, others continue their elite life. The principle of "fraternity, equality" of the revolution is violated to the point of vulgarity.
5. The general public (including the strugglers) has a clear collective question to the unjustly enriched class due to public resources and positions. Platforms have not yet found a way to answer this difficult question and stubbornly avoid it. This creates a disconnect between the platforms and the general public. This gives the government an opportunity to play the theme of "the looting of the former and illegal property".
And it will continue like that until an honest answer and proposal for a solution is found. To put it bluntly, many people can try to convince Nikol's anti-corruption prosecutors that they are saints and legal millionaires, but it is impossible to convince the general public. Here other solutions are required. 6. The working-tactical disharmony of the platforms, the square and the National Assembly factions. From one moment on, the National Assembly lives in a different reality, the platform is different, the square is completely different.
It is not possible to publish the message "The Antichrist must leave" from the platform and work together in the National Assembly. The society feels this dissonance, notices that something is not right here. Platforms do not find a solution to this conflict. 7. Lack of strategic patience. the idea that the government will change with one rally or one week of struggle. All movements started with this psychology. And only after failure do they admit that the other point of view, the patient struggle, was correct. The attitude of patient struggle will bring the fastest success. 8. Platform messages to the outside world. or there were gross mistakes, or simply incomprehensible to neighbors, allies and the enemy.
P.S. Why am I addressing this topic? because I am definitely sure that in the near future, with the right work, effective processes are possible, which will provide the opportunity for a deep restart of the state either during the extraordinary or regular elections. But for success, it is important to bravely accept the reasons for failure. It is very important for the state (and even for this government) that the changes come as a result of the peaceful movement of solid forces. Other scenarios are versions of a big explosion, one more dangerous than the other." Vahe HovhannisyanAlternative projects group
