Political analyst Hakob Badalyan wrote:
"Azerbaijan continues to spread misinformation about the ceasefire violation. At the same time, they are spreading with such an intensity that, for example, how many times, how many times have been issued a message within two days, a new message already appears.
At the moment, for example, seven such messages have already been distributed in two days. After each message, the Armenian side denied denies, and it was a statement of the Prime Minister's Office. The statement reminds the proposal made from June 2024 to create a joint mechanism for investigating the ceasefire violations.
Naturally, Azerbaijan did not respond to it, and, of course, it will not respond. For Azerbaijan, the information cards on the ceasefire violations is one of the playing cards, of course Baku will not give up.
The use of this tool is perceived as a provocation. In other words, Baku intends to apply to a provocation, but before that it creates an information "image" that the Armenian side is allegedly.
Of course, it's. But I do not think that this is the only meaning and application of this card.
This information tool has a multifacetistic meaning for Baku, multifunctional. In general, it fits within the framework of force-based policy methodology that Azerbaijan applies.
At the same time, it is not completely exception, and that Azerbaijan can do that tool is also to be so-called defensive purposes or consideration. Of course, we are not talking about defending Armenia, because Armenia does not threaten Azerbaijan in any way, but on the contrary, Baku is threatening Armenia.
We are talking about defending the risks of international relations. However, Azerbaijan has risks, of course, the US-EU and London confrontation.
The question will cause the misinformation of the misinformation about the violation of the ceasefire there. I think that Azerbaijan does not need to be the attention, so to speak, weaken the burden and pressure of the background expectations in London.
At first glance, Azerbaijan's "excuse" is received. In other words, the impression may be created that the poor Azerbaijan tries to weaken the pressure of London with misinformation about the ceasefire violation.
In fact, we are not talking about "poor Azerbaijan". Azerbaijan is aggressive, militant and larger than Armenia, and it is a strategy for it. But Baku is also insane. In the use of force, there is probably quite meticulous at time, the moment, the environment.
It is possible that the land is now touched, checking feedback, etc. But Azerbaijan has already reportedly expressed seven times in two days.
This allows us to conclude that the spread of misinformation is still at least at the moment the purpose of the provocation.
This certainly does not mean absolutely to weaken vigilance. Moreover, it is necessary to act in the presumption of the worst goal, as they say, always be a patronized deterioration. However, at least at the level of observation, I think the lack of substantive dynamics in misinformation testifies to at least at the moment the lack of a provocation and the lack of preparation. Of course, the content dynamic should be followed. "
