"Fact" daily writes:
It is obvious that in the next two months there may be various actions that will aggravate the general situation on the world political stage.
Political scientist Beniamin Matevosyan expresses a similar opinion in a conversation with "Fact". "I will single out two cases.
First, the USA made public that with the missiles it provides to Ukraine, it is possible to hit deep into the territory of "old Russia". Europeans, came under American sanctions.
Moreover, there is another important circumstance: the Chinese payment system "UnionPay", which was an alternative to the American, western "SWIFT", came under sanctions.
In other words, all the cards of "Gazprombank" that served "UnionPay" were closed.
This was primarily a blow to China, because it showed that the US does not perceive China as a separate entity that should have the opportunity to develop this type of cooperation with Russia.
This was the first major strike against China.
They decided to use those missiles to strike deep into the territories of "old Russia", and Russia immediately struck Ukraine with a new weapon.
During the meeting with Putin, the officials of the military industry complex said that any target in Europe can be hit with the "Oreshnik" system.
Russia was attacked, it responded, China was attacked, it did not respond.
Yes, they raised their paws and disconnected all the cards of "Gazprombank" from the "UnionPay" system," says the political scientist.
It emphasizes that if the new administration of the United States decides to focus more on economic containment of China, it has a better chance of success.
"The Chinese do not dare to oppose even in the case of this simple problem. This in turn means that a situation may be created when the Russian-American relations will register a qualitative change.
If they register a qualitative change, then it will affect us. in the American ruling elites, it is not only about the Trump administration, the idea that Russia has its own strategic interests and depth of strategic borders will be legitimized.
The post-Soviet states are entering the depth of those strategic borders.
In this case, the global changes that are happening can affect us. I don't think it will happen in two months, I don't even think that Trump will be able to solve these issues globally in the first half or a year.
But many circumstances indicate that the trend is going in this direction," adds our interlocutor.
The West or Russia? The authorities of Armenia started to outline the foreign policy line towards the West, they opposed Russia, but now it seems that they are trying to make curtseys in its direction, right? with ourselves, is connected by strong threads with Russia.
"They are going to Turkey, not to the West or to Russia. After 2018, they announced that there will be no changes in foreign policy, that is, strategic alliance relations with Russia will not be reviewed.
After the 44-day war, the telegram propaganda dumps of the authorities wrote non-stop about how much support Russia provided to Armenia, the Republic of Artsakh during the 44-day war.
It is another matter that Nikol Pashinyan made a personal decision to abort the November 9 process.
After that, according to the well-known principle "а теперь я Наташа", they became anti-Russian and now serve that line.
Globally, they are moving towards Turkey, the integration of the Turkish world.
What were the authorities saying? the Russians put the Karabakh issue in our pocket, there was a cover saying that for thirty years we were forced to love something that is not ours, etc. Now they say that there was Karabakh, which the Russians put in our pocket thanks to which they kept our state in their "pocket".
Let's assume that it is really so. It means that by handing over Karabakh, you have taken a step against Russia.
Handing over Karabakh, taking a step against Russia, but continuing to be included in political, economic, geopolitical, military systems, the center of which is Russia, in turn means that as a person, a representative of the political elite, a political party, you have no future. Armenia continues to be Russian. in orbit, while realizing that Karabakh could not be surrendered, but they surrendered it, these people understand that they will be punished.
What is the only option to get out of this situation? The West does not provide effective support, influence on the processes that would allow the authorities to be 100% sure that they will keep their status. Now who can do it?
Let's look around and we will see that the only center that can more or less do this is Turkey.
If you integrate into the Turkish world, handing over Karabakh is not a crime for which you should be in prison for the rest of your life, supporting the handing over of Karabakh is not a crime for which you must be tried for the rest of your life, but a case that is weak allowed to take an important step towards the unification of the Turkish world.
If you have done that, according to the authorities, you can hope to rule in that small appendix between Turkey and Azerbaijan, without Syunik and a number of other territories, for many years.
If people look at the processes with this logic, they will understand what these people are doing, where they are taking us. All this is done cheaply under the guise of integration with the Western world. Some forces are collecting signatures for joining the EU today.
"I don't know how the pro-Turkish force can collect signatures on the way to the EU and bring us to the logical milestone: Turkey is not Europe, nor is it the European Union," says the political scientist. And how do the Armenian authorities relate to Russia? with the Federation.
"They understood that they have at least reasons to interact with Russia. Our turnover is 14 billion, we have no alternative market.
On the other hand, they understood a certain "weak" side of the Russians, which by exploiting it, you can ensure a level of relations with them.
Another "Russian House" was recently opened in Dilijan, in the near future Valentina Matvienko, the President of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation, will visit Armenia, votes are taking place at the United Nations, during which Armenia does not vote against Russia, within the framework of internal negotiations, Nikol Pashinyan, moreover, on his own initiative, can to say: Vladimir Vladimirovich, let's open Russian schools here, then obstruct it inside the country, saying we want to, but our Ministry of Education and Culture does not allow it.
But by raising the topic of the Russian school, not voting against Russia, he destroys the level of interaction with Russia internally and will do so until he has no alternative, he has not even completed the process of integration with Turkey.
Why Nikol Pashinyan does not renounce the November 9 document?
Not only because he is well aware that if he withdraws Armenia's signature, there will be a war the next day, but he wants to sign some kind of document with the same West or at least with Turkey, which will guarantee the existence of a new geopolitical structure in our region, after that a full will sever its ties with Russia.
If people want to know what document he would like to sign with Azerbaijan or Turkey, let them read the Alexandropol Treaty, one of the clauses of which says that Turkey is ready to come and help the Republic of Armenia at the request of Armenia in case of external and internal threats.
If that clause of the Alexandropol Treaty is included in the Armenian-Azerbaijani "Peace Treaty", the guarantor of which should be Erdogan, then not only will the Russian troops be withdrawn from here, but Russians will be caught in the streets and they will all be expelled from the country," Beniamin Matevosyan concludes.
Lusine Arakelyan
