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Why are Iran's mediation initiatives between Yerevan and Baku failed?


168.amwrites:

After the 44-day war in 2020, the Islamic Republic of Iran several times offered Iran and Baku to Iran's support in the process of establishing peace. As the events of recent years have shown, these proposals of Iran have not been able to underestimate Iran's role in ensuring Armenia's security in these years, taking into account Iran's regional "red lines" that are currently maintained.

Recently, during a press conference in Tehran, a recent talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi announced that they strive for peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan and were ready to support it. However, in his speech, Lavrov did not touch upon any regional themes, nor a settlement format.

By the way, it should be reminded that Abbas Araghchi is the Iranian diplomat (then the Deputy Foreign Minister of the Republic of Iran), who visited Moscow-Yerevan-Baku-Ankara during the war, trying to operate regional diplomacy.

"Realism and peace through the forces of the countries of the region." This is how official Tehran describes his plan to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, which was represented by the Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister in the conflicting countries, as well as in Moscow and Ankara.

The Iranian side expected the Iranian program to be approved by Moscow's mediation during the November 9 trilateral announcement, as well as in the years following the years, with a European mediation, which was the quadruple meeting of Prague, including Artsakh. We can generally state that after this, the maneuvers of Azerbaijan began and the negotiation process appeared in front of the uncertain mediation prospect.

Recently, both Tbilisi and Washington have supported the parties during the former administration, both Moscow and Tehran.

And even though it became known that Yerevan and Baku continue to exchange their so-called "peace agreement" with two of the 12 points of the agreement, no agreement, however, failed to record. The situation is much more hopeless on the issue of unblocking roads. About the months ago, Yerevan sent its proposals to Baku, but Azerbaijan continues to respond, unilaterally, trying to impose its conditions, the so-called "Zangezur Corridor".

Թեհրանը նման փորձ նախաձեռնեց նաև 2023 թվականի դեկտեմբերին ԻԻՀ ԱԳ նախարարի այցով Երևան և Բաքու, սակայն Թեհրանի այդ նախաձեռնությունը ևս շարունակություն չունեցավ։

From time to time, Tehran also puts its readiness to support the parties in the region, expressing its clear negative position on Turkish-Azerbaijani, so-called "Zangezur Corridor" project. Recently, Azerbaijani Assistant to the President of Azerbaijan Hikmet Hajiyev was received by discussing regional issues. However, it is noteworthy that Iran's proposals are never seriously considered.

168.amIn a conversation with "Armenpress", Andrey Areshev said that regional processes have not been involved in the Islamic Republic of Iran, which has not been involved in decades for decades.

In addition, according to him, these proposals in Iran are first aimed at Moscow and Ankara, and it is here that there is a lack of problems and understanding.

"It is not accidental that the Iranian minister is talking about this readiness, as it is not important for Iran, both a single initiative, such as" 3 + 3 ", is also important to Iran's" voice "to be heard.

However, this platform is currently not ready for such discussions. In addition, this motion is not acceptable for Baku, maybe maybe for Yerevan, but will raise issues by Washington. As for Russia's and Iran's cooperation in this region, as well as the perception of Russia on this role, it is not everything agreed to be between the parties, "there is a lack of mutual understanding over Russia and Iran."

Therefore, I think that Iran will first want to receive support from regional players, which would be easier to start initiatives with Yerevan and Baku. However, since this does not happen, these conversations remain offers and statements, "Aresh said such an opinion.

However, he believes that the statement of the Russian side to strengthen the six-party platform suggests that such political issues can be partially discussed on that platform.

According to Areshev, this means that all regional players will take part in the negotiation process in one way or another.

"In recent years, due to geopolitical processes, the negotiation environment has changed significant changes. The OSCE Minsk Group, it stopped its active work, and competition between the mediating countries began who would be the main mediator. However, in parallel with all this, the regional countries began to increase their influence. In addition, it was in this realm of this realm of Moscow, taking into account the peculiarities of the multi-faceted world. And those changes are still in progress, there is currently no mediator between the parties, there is a direct process, but it is difficult to say what it will lead to. Before that, some time will be maintained for promoting Moscow-Washington talks and establishing a new geopolitical status quo, which will also affect these issues, "Aresh said.

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